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Are We Ready For The Flood? This past week is yet one more reminder that the Bay Area is extremely vulnerable to significant flooding, be it from a Nor’easter Storm as we had this past Thursday, or sea-level rise that is already occurring due to global climate disruption. It began extremely early on Thursday morning, January 4th, with a large and very wet Pacific Storm, generated further south off the Southern California Coast and then traveling up the length of California. That storm brought the potential for both heavy and sustained rain inland, but also incredibly strong and sustained wind off the Pacific Coast, centered squarely on the 9-county San Francisco Bay Area. Those winds began with gusts of 45-50 mph at 7am Thursday and only intensified as the day wore on, with gusts of high as 77 mph recorded at SandlPoint on the north East side of San Francisco Bay, and some surely much stronger in other areas of the Coastline. Even further inland there were gusts up to and over 50 mph. The storm was short-lived, all-in-all lasting just over 24 hours with precipitation varying from just a few tenths of a inch inland to 4 to 5-1/2 inches in places on the far North Coast. But that was more than enough to trigger the event that so many of us fear and expect to see at least a few times each year. Within San Francisco Bay the combination of high winds and 1 to 2 foot high tides (wind-induced surge) pushed significant amounts of Bay water right up into the mudflats and tidelands of it’s perimeter, even reaching all the way to the edge of San Rafael in Marin County. This water started to come over land into the low-lying areas all around the Bay, and San Mateo and Foster City were especially vulnerable to the combination. Cities further on the South Bay Shore, including Hayward and Fremont were also hit-hard. One of the main roads, Highway 92, and the connecting roads along the Northern end of theSouth Bay had to be closed-off because of the flooding. The highway was completely submerged in several places. All of this could be seen in real-time via reports to local TV and radio stations, but it was also easy to see and explore using YouTube, etc., as numerous drone/helicopter images and videos were posted, with pictures and videos of the Area’s vulnerability plainly visible. All-in-all, this storm event was a stark reminder of the vulnerability of the Bay Area to even a moderately strong and wet storm, especially when these storms occur in conjunction with a high tide. We know from many studies done over the past decades that sea-level rise, coupled with a storm like this past Thursday, will almost certainly cause flooding comparable in reach and affect to what happened last week but on a far more sustained and frequent basis, especially as we move forward in time. Are we ready for the flood? Do we even want to be ready? Nobody knows the answer to these questions, but the current water-level indicators of the Bay Area are signaling a what are sure to be major challenges to the region’s infrastructure, housing, and economy. For those of us living and working in the San Francisco Bay Area, the implications of global climate disruption, sea-level rise, and an increased frequency of strong and wet storms pose a truly existential threat to the safety and well-being of our homes, workplaces, and families. It is time for us to urgently assess our vulnerability and develop plans to move forward — both through mitigation of existing risks and planning for long-term resilience. It is time for us to accept our vulnerability to floods and prepare for the worst — before it’s too late. If you live in, or commute to, the San Francisco Bay Area, please take a few moments to read thoroughly this 2019 FEMA Sea Level Rise vulnerability report and take the time to review and consider the recommendations made. We are all part of this equation, and we all have a role to play in making sure that our community is as prepared as possible for what’s ahead.

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